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W10: Participatory and Conceptual Modelling – Making Models Amenable to Stakeholders’ Concerns

Page: Main.W10 - Last Modified : Mon, 30 Jun 08

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June 30, 2008, at 10:41 AM by 147.83.181.16 -
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(:cell :) '''''J. Mysiak''''' and Z. Nagy
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(:cell :) '''''J. ''''' and Z. Nagy
June 30, 2008, at 01:52 AM by 89.131.108.230 -
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Using a Bayesian network to assess the population-level risks of endocrine disruptors to brown trout'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: W10-01-Borsuk_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Using a Bayesian network to assess the population-level risks of endocrine disruptors to brown trout']]
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(:cell :) 'Assessment of agri-enviromental measures on water quality using a Bayesian Network'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: W10-02-Carpani_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Assessment of agri-enviromental measures on water quality using a Bayesian Network']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Integrated methodology for the management of uncertainty and complexity in climate change adaptation policies: a Bayesian Decision Network approach'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: W10-03-Catenacci_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Integrated methodology for the management of uncertainty and complexity in climate change adaptation policies: a Bayesian Decision Network approach']]
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(:cell :) 'Actor Modeling and Actor-based Modeling: New Methods to Analyze the Human Component of Human-Environment Systems'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: W10-04-Doll_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Actor Modeling and Actor-based Modeling: New Methods to Analyze the Human Component of Human-Environment Systems']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Knowledge elicitation games on stakeholder decision-making: do we get closer to behaviour?'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: W10-05-Haase_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Knowledge elicitation games on stakeholder decision-making: do we get closer to behaviour?']]
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(:cell :) 'Waterlogging in Upper Tisza and the driving forces behind'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: W10-06-Mysiak_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Waterlogging in Upper Tisza and the driving forces behind']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Sustainability Evaluation for Shellfish Production in Gamak Bay based on the Systems Ecology'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: W10-07-Oh_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Sustainability Evaluation for Shellfish Production in Gamak Bay based on the Systems Ecology']]
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(:cell :) 'Modelers and stakeholders: who is the boss?'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: W10-08-Voinov_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Modelers and stakeholders: who is the boss?']]
June 27, 2008, at 05:48 PM by 147.83.72.215 -
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) %blue% [++'''Tuesday 8'''++]\\
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Tuesday 8'''+]
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Wednesday 9'''+]
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June 10, 2008, at 06:27 PM by 147.83.72.215 -
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(:cell colspan=2 :) 'Introduction'
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 16:50 - 17:00
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Using a Bayesian network to assess the population-level risks of endocrine disruptors to brown trout'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''M. Borsuk''''', S. Schubert, A. Peter and P. Burkhardt-Holm
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(:cellnr align=center :) 17:20 - 17:40
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(:cell :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell :) 'Assessment of agri-enviromental measures on water quality using a Bayesian Network'
(:cell :) '''''M. Carpani''''' and C. Giupponi
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 17:40 - 18:00
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 17:10 - 17:20
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Integrated methodology for the management of uncertainty and complexity in climate change adaptation policies: a Bayesian Decision Network approach'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''M. Catenacci''''' and C. Giupponi
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(:cellnr align=center :) 17:20 - 17:30
(:cell :) 'Actor Modeling and Actor-based Modeling: New Methods to Analyze the Human Component of Human-Environment Systems'
(:cell :) '''''P. , C. and A. Titz'''''
(:cell align=center :) A6102
(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 17:30 - 18:00
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de colspan=2 :) 'Discussion'
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 9:30 - 9:40
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Knowledge elicitation games on stakeholder decision-making: do we get closer to behaviour?'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''D. Haase'''''
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(:cell :) '''''
''''',
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(:cell :) 'Waterlogging in Upper Tisza and the driving forces behind'
(:cell :) '''''J. Mysiak''''' and Z. Nagy
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 10:10 - 10:30
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 9:50 - 10:00
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Sustainability Evaluation for Shellfish Production in Gamak Bay based on the Systems Ecology'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''H.T. Oh''''', W.C. Lee, S.M. Lee , R.H. Jung and S.J. Hong
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(:cell :) 'Modelers and stakeholders: who is the boss?'
(:cell :) '''''A. Voinov''''' and F. Bousquet
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 10:10 - 10:50
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de colspan=2 :) 'Discussion'
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June 10, 2008, at 06:19 PM by 147.83.72.215 -
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June 10, 2008, at 01:27 PM by 89.131.108.230 -
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Tuesday 8'''+]
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 11:20 - 11:40
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Wednesday 9'''+]
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June 10, 2008, at 01:14 PM by 89.131.108.230 -
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(:cell align=center width=43% :) '''Title'''
(:cell align=center width=43% :) '''Authors'''
(:cell align=center width=5% :) '''Place'''
(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Tuesday 8'''+]
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(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Tuesday 8'''+]
(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 9:30 - 9:50
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 11:20 - 11:40
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) A6102
(:cellnr colspan=5 align=center :) [+'''Wednesday 9'''+]
(:cellnr bgcolor=#b0c4de align=center :) 9:30 - 9:50
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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[[ Main/W10PositionPaper | '''Workshop 10: Discussion space''' ]]
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[[ W10/W10PositionPaper | '''Workshop 10: Discussion space''' ]]
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[[ Main/W10PositionPaper | '''Workshop 10: Discussion space''' ]]
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->'''Carmel A. Pollino, Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management C., The Austr. Nat. Univ., Australia'''
->'''Anthony J. Jakeman, Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management C., The Austr. Nat. Univ., Australia'''
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->'''Nigel Quinn HydroEcological Engineering Advanced Decision Support, Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, USA'''
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->'''Nigel Quinn, HydroEcological Engineering Advanced Decision Support, Berkeley National Laboratory, USA'''
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!!Topics
For the workshop, participation of people interested in modelling, policy analysis and decision making is welcome. The participants do not need to have prior knowledge in conceptual modelling or scientific modelling.
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!!Topics
For the workshop, participation of people interested in modelling, policy analysis and decision making is welcome. The participants do not need to have prior knowledge in conceptual modelling or scientific modelling.
October 12, 2007, at 12:58 PM by 89.131.108.230 -
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(:title W10: Participatory and Conceptual Modelling Making Models Amenable to Concerns :)

!!Organisers
->'''Jaroslav , Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Venice, Italy''' (contact: [[mailto:jaroslav.mysiak@feem.it | jaroslav.mysiak@feem.it]])
->'''Raffaele Giordani, National Research Council -Water Research Institute (CNR -- IRSA), Bari, Italy'''
->'''Carlo Giupponi, Dipartimento di Produzione Vegetale, University of Milan, Italy'''
->'''Farmani Raziyeh, Informatics Research Institute (IRI), University of Exeter, UK'''
->'''Nigel Quinn HydroEcological Engineering Advanced Decision Support, Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, USA'''
->'''[to be confirmed] Piotr Magnuszewski, Institute of Physics, Wroclaw University of Technology, Wroclaw, Poland'''

!!Description
Models are fundamental instruments for scientific inquiry but their use in and for public policy making can be controversial. The use of models to legitimise regulatory decisions is challenged on various grounds, including uncertainty which is embodied in models and an inevitable component of modelling practices. The subjectivity of model evaluation is another point of contention, since models are evaluated not only according to rigorous scientific criteria but also plausible judgements of policy usefulness. In addition, models are often sufficiently complex to preclude scrutiny and challenge by those who are adversely affected by the regulations. Intuition and intelligent guesswork contained in models in the form of tacit assumptions make it difficult even for researchers from neighbourhood disciplines to adequately appreciate the limitations of models. For these and other reasons the use of models for policy decisions has been the main focus of political debates in areas such as climate change policy, biodiversity protection, and environment-related diseases and health risks.
In this session we address conceptual modelling techniques such as causal loop diagrams, cognitive maps and their fuzzy counterparts, other problem structuring methods, qualitative probabilistic networks, value and decision trees, Bayesian belief networks, influence diagram, stock and flow diagram, reasoning map and other techniques and tools which facilitate transparent development of models and bolster these potential to promote consensus and cooperation. These techniques are similar in scope as they all capture views and concerns of non-scientists and help to incorporate them in models. All conceptual models consist of elements (concepts) which symbolize relevant aspects of the modelled phenomena, and connections between them which are indicative of implications or cause effect relations. However, the techniques differ widely in terms of purpose, meaning and content of the models. In the workshop, particular attention will be paid to how different techniques capture uncertainty, and to what extent the conceptual models instigate conciliation between different worldview/beliefs. Not only, discussion will be encouraged about how and whether conceptual models increase the acceptance of simulation (mathematical) models and scenarios built on their basis.

!!Topics
For the workshop, participation of people interested in modelling, policy analysis and decision making is welcome. The participants do not need to have prior knowledge in conceptual modelling or scientific modelling.

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!!Schedule
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