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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'A Methodology for Building Credible Models for Policy Evaluation'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: S12-01-Aumann_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'A Methodology for Building Credible Models for Policy Evaluation']]
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(:cell :) 'Evaluating consistency of biosphere models: software tools for a web-based service'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: S12-02-Alexandrov_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Evaluating consistency of biosphere models: software tools for a web-based service']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'The Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (C-LAMP): A Protocol and Evaluation Metrics for Global Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Models'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: S12-03-Hoffmann_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'The Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (C-LAMP): A Protocol and Evaluation Metrics for Global Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Models']]
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(:cell :) 'Reducing Uncertainty in Ecological Niche Models with ANN Ensembles'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: S12-04-Kirilenko_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Reducing Uncertainty in Ecological Niche Models with ANN Ensembles']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Towards model evaluation using Self-Organizing Maps'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: S12-05-Herbst_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Towards model evaluation using Self-Organizing Maps']]
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(:cell :) 'A Software Component for Model Output Evaluation'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: S12-06-Donatelli_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'A Software Component for Model Output Evaluation']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Using SOAP to Develop Software for Air Trajectory Calculation'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) [[Attach: S12-07-Zeng_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Using SOAP to Develop Software for Air Trajectory Calculation']]
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(:cell :) 'Web Components for Development of Computational Methods: Example with Fuzzy'
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(:cell :) [[Attach: S12-08-Bellocchi_et_al-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'Web Components for Development of Computational Methods: Example with Fuzzy']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de colspan=2 :) 'What is the next? - General discussion'
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de colspan=2 :) [[Attach: SNN-BB-NOM_et_al_-IEMSS2008.pdf | 'What is the next? - General discussion']]
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'A Methodology for Building Credible Models for Policy Evaluation'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''C. A. Aumann'''''
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(:cell :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell :) 'Evaluating consistency of biosphere models: software tools for a web-based service'
(:cell :) '''''G. A. Alexandrov''''' and T. Matsunaga
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'The Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (C-LAMP): A Protocol and Evaluation Metrics for Global Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Models'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''F.M. Hoffman''''', J.T. Randerson, I.Y. Fung, P.E. Thornton, Y.-H. Lee, C.C. Covey, G.B. Bonan and S.W. Running
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(:cell :) ''
(:cell :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell :) 'Reducing Uncertainty in Ecological Niche Models with ANN Ensembles'
(:cell :) '''''A. P. Kirilenko''''' and R. S. Hanley
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Towards model evaluation using Self-Organizing Maps'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''M. Herbst''''' and M.C. Casper
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(:cell :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell :) 'A Software Component for Model Output Evaluation'
(:cell :) G. Bellocchia, '''''M. Donatellia''''', M. Acutisb, E. Habyarimanaa
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) 'Using SOAP to Develop Software for Air Trajectory Calculation'
(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de :) '''''J. Zeng''''', T. Matsunaga and H. Mukai
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(:cell :) ''''' ''''',
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(:cell :) 'Web Components for Development of Computational Methods: Example with Fuzzy'
(:cell :) '''''G. Bellocchi''''', F. Foscarini, M. Canonico and G. Van den Eede
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(:cell bgcolor=#b0c4de colspan=2 :) 'What is the next? - General discussion'
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!!Description
The components of global environment are estimated by means of models. Many different models are possible for any given component, and no criterion exists to pick one model over another. Instead, the models form an ensemble, which is assumed to be a consistent estimator of a given component -- that is, to be converging to the quantities being estimated as the number of models grows. Is this assumption close to reality? Are confidence intervals shrinking? To answer this question we need regular checks of model consistency based on well-agreed methodology and empowered by information technologies. The purpose of the session is to discuss the methodology of this sort and to define web-based services needed for its efficient implementation.
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!!Description
The components of global environment are estimated by means of models. Many different models are possible for any given component, and no criterion exists to pick one model over another. Instead, the models form an ensemble, which is assumed to be a consistent estimator of a given component -- that is, to be converging to the quantities being estimated as the number of models grows. Is this assumption close to reality? Are confidence intervals shrinking? To answer this question we need regular checks of model consistency based on well-agreed methodology and empowered by information technologies. The purpose of the session is to discuss the methodology of this sort and to define web-based services needed for its efficient implementation.